Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.028248 0.030318 0.032476 0.034897 0.037542 0.040347 0.043550
2025-06-15 0.024688 0.027608 0.030809 0.034591 0.038953 0.043844 0.049771
2025-06-22 0.022261 0.025665 0.029540 0.034300 0.040027 0.046738 0.055262
2025-06-29 0.020266 0.023934 0.028232 0.033683 0.040468 0.048713 0.059606
2025-07-06 0.019153 0.023101 0.027849 0.034043 0.041994 0.051980 0.065664
2025-07-13 0.018068 0.022189 0.027260 0.034036 0.042974 0.054534 0.070902
2025-07-20 0.017310 0.021614 0.027020 0.034411 0.044411 0.057709 0.077138
2025-07-27 0.016417 0.020796 0.026397 0.034208 0.045018 0.059753 0.081900
2025-08-03 0.015617 0.020045 0.025803 0.033981 0.045538 0.061663 0.086556
2025-08-10 0.014909 0.019371 0.025262 0.033775 0.046043 0.063541 0.091256
2025-08-17 0.014296 0.018788 0.024805 0.033643 0.046622 0.065529 0.096229
2025-08-24 0.013627 0.018092 0.024152 0.033185 0.046676 0.066712 0.099996
2025-08-31 0.012953 0.017365 0.023426 0.032588 0.046498 0.067545 0.103296
2025-09-07 0.012421 0.016813 0.022922 0.032286 0.046739 0.069025 0.107752
2025-09-14 0.011938 0.016308 0.022459 0.032014 0.046998 0.070530 0.112343
2025-09-21 0.011404 0.015706 0.021824 0.031445 0.046748 0.071183 0.115488
2025-09-28 0.011159 0.015514 0.021782 0.031776 0.047938 0.074253 0.123119
2025-10-05 0.010839 0.015196 0.021534 0.031769 0.048572 0.076420 0.129278
2025-10-12 0.010630 0.015034 0.021513 0.032114 0.049796 0.079655 0.137677
2025-10-19 0.010299 0.014674 0.021174 0.031928 0.050111 0.081319 0.143212
2025-10-26 0.009982 0.014323 0.020832 0.031719 0.050370 0.082888 0.148678
2025-11-02 0.009686 0.013995 0.020513 0.031529 0.050645 0.084493 0.154335
2025-11-09 0.009423 0.013707 0.020244 0.031408 0.051030 0.086313 0.160575